Najee Harris Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 66.1 total plays in this game: the 4th-most among all teams this week.
In this week's game, Najee Harris is projected by the model to slot into the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs with 2.7 targets.
Najee Harris has been a key part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 8.6% this year, which puts him in the 75th percentile among RBs.
Favors Under
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 26.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Steelers grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year.
This year, the formidable Cleveland Browns defense has given up a paltry 75.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 4th-smallest rate in the NFL.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Cleveland's collection of safeties has been outstanding this year, ranking as the 7th-best in the league.