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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Najee Harris Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 66.1 total plays in this game: the 4th-most among all teams this week.
  • In this week's game, Najee Harris is projected by the model to slot into the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs with 2.7 targets.
  • Najee Harris has been a key part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 8.6% this year, which puts him in the 75th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 26.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Steelers grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year.
  • This year, the formidable Cleveland Browns defense has given up a paltry 75.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 4th-smallest rate in the NFL.
  • As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Cleveland's collection of safeties has been outstanding this year, ranking as the 7th-best in the league.

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