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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Dallas Cowboys

Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 131.5 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 61.2 plays per game.

The leading projections forecast Najee Harris to garner 4.0 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 89th percentile among RBs.

Najee Harris's 14.0% Target Rate this year indicates a remarkable progression in his pass attack usage over last year's 6.5% figure.

Najee Harris has accrued significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (20.0) this season than he did last season (11.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 46.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Najee Harris has compiled a feeble -5.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 20th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Najee Harris's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 84.7% to 70.1%.

Najee Harris ranks as one of the bottom running backs in football at generating extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a lowly 5.30 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 20th percentile.

Since the start of last season, the formidable Cowboys defense has allowed a mere 75.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL.

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