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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The predictive model expects Najee Harris to earn 4.0 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Since the start of last season, the anemic Indianapolis Colts defense has been gouged for a monstrous 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing RBs: the 5th-worst in the league.

Since the start of last season, the weak Colts defense has allowed the 3rd-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing RBs: a colossal 9.03 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 50.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the league.

Najee Harris has accounted for a feeble -2.9% of his offense's air yards this year: just 23rd percentile among running backs.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

Najee Harris's 75.8% Adjusted Catch% this season indicates an impressive decrease in his receiving skills over last season's 84.7% rate.

More Najee Harris Player Props

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