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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-117/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 134.2 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.

The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a massive 59.1 per game on average).

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.

With an extraordinary 10.1% Target% (79th percentile) this year, Najee Harris has been as one of the pass-catching running backs with the most usage in the NFL.

Najee Harris has compiled quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (19.0) this year than he did last year (11.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 10th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

In regards to air yards, Najee Harris ranks in just the 7th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -4.0 per game.

The Kansas City Chiefs defense has yielded the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 20.0) to running backs this year.

This year, the stout Kansas City Chiefs defense has yielded the least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing RBs: a meager 4.8 yards.

The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers profile as the 4th-best group of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.

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