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Najee Harris
NFL · Player Props
Najee Harris
RB · Pittsburgh Steelers
Receiving Yards
Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 3, 2023 Updated Sep 25, 2023 12:16 AM UTC
NFL Props Najee Harris Receiving Yards

Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -145.

Favors Over
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.5 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 9th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Najee Harris's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 77.9% to 56.2%.
  • Najee Harris's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this year, averaging just 0.45 yards-per-target compared to a 4.40 mark last year.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers profile as the best unit in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
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