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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers have been the most pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 75.4% pass rate.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 61.3 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to notch 3.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among RBs.
  • Najee Harris has been an integral part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 9.5% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: least in the NFL.
  • Najee Harris has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in football among running backs, averaging a mere 4.29 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 15th percentile.
  • Najee Harris has been among the bottom RBs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 5.91 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 24th percentile.
  • The Cleveland Browns pass defense has exhibited good efficiency against RBs since the start of last season, allowing 5.23 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in football.

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