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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Seattle Seahawks vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers will be rolling out backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Steelers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

As it relates to air yards, Najee Harris grades out in the lofty 78th percentile among running backs this year, averaging an astounding 1.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more remarkable than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).

Najee Harris's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 77.9% to 81.3%.

Najee Harris's pass-catching effectiveness has gotten better this year, totaling 5.15 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 4.40 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 55.3% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast the Steelers to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (a measly 55.3 per game on average).

Najee Harris's 36.3% Route Participation% this season conveys an impressive decrease in his air attack usage over last season's 46.9% mark.

The Pittsburgh offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

More Najee Harris Player Props

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