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Najee Harris
NFL · Player Props
Najee Harris
RB · Pittsburgh Steelers
Receiving Yards
Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2023 Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:31 PM UTC
NFL Props Najee Harris Receiving Yards

Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-124/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -105.

Favors Over
  • At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
  • With an exceptional 8.3% Target% (75th percentile) this year, Najee Harris places as one of the pass-catching running backs with the most usage in the NFL.
  • Najee Harris has put up a monstrous 1.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile when it comes to running backs. (That might not seem like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Najee Harris's 7.05 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects a material improvement in his efficiency in space over last season's 5.9% figure.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals safeties profile as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
Favors Under
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
  • This year, the daunting Bengals defense has given up a feeble 78.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 7th-best rate in the league.
  • This year, the stout Bengals pass defense has yielded the 4th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing running backs: a feeble 5.6 YAC.
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