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Najee Harris
NFL · Player Props
Najee Harris
RB · Pittsburgh Steelers
Receiving Yards
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 6, 2022 Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST
NFL Props Najee Harris Receiving Yards

Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -119.

Favors Over
  • The Steelers are an enormous 9.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to earn 3.7 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among running backs.
Favors Under
  • Najee Harris has been a less important option in his team's passing attack this season (8.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (15.2%).
  • Najee Harris has accumulated quite a few less receiving yards per game (12.0) this year than he did last year (26.0).
  • Najee Harris's receiving efficiency has diminished this year, accumulating a measly 4.15 yards-per-target vs a 4.94 mark last year.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has allowed the least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 15.0) versus running backs this year.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has shown strong efficiency versus RBs since the start of last season, surrendering 5.34 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-least in the league.
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