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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.

Najee Harris has run a route on 65.3% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile among RBs.

THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to garner 4.0 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 91st percentile among RBs.

The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 11th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The weather report calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Najee Harris has notched a meager -1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 7th percentile among RBs.

The Cleveland Browns defense has yielded the 9th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 31.0) vs. running backs since the start of last season.

The Cleveland Browns linebackers profile as the best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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