Najee Harris Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

My Account Log Out

reorder

Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.5 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to earn 3.3 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among running backs.
Najee Harris has put up a whopping 6.0 air yards per game this year: 97th percentile among RBs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
The Cleveland Browns safeties rank as the worst safety corps in football this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 4th-least in the league.
Najee Harris has run fewer routes this year (47.8% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (65.6%).
Najee Harris has notched quite a few less receiving yards per game (14.0) this year than he did last year (26.0).

More Najee Harris Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow