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Najee Harris
NFL · Player Props
Najee Harris
RB · Pittsburgh Steelers
Receiving Yards
Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 13, 2022 Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC
NFL Props Najee Harris Receiving Yards

Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -114.

Favors Over
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to total 3.2 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 80th percentile among running backs.
  • Najee Harris has posted a colossal 4.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Najee Harris's ability to grind out extra yardage has gotten better this season, accumulating 6.72 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 5.42 mark last season.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-least plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Najee Harris has been less involved as a potential target this season (48.0% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (65.6%).
  • Najee Harris has compiled substantially fewer receiving yards per game (13.0) this season than he did last season (26.0).
  • Najee Harris's pass-game efficiency has tailed off this year, averaging just 3.98 yards-per-target compared to a 4.81 mark last year.
  • The Atlanta Falcons defense has allowed the 10th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 31.0) to running backs this year.
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