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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.5 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to total 4.5 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among running backs.

Najee Harris has accumulated a colossal 5.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among RBs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Najee Harris's ability to pick up extra yardage has been refined this season, notching 6.68 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 5.57 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: least in football.

Najee Harris has been a much smaller piece of his team's passing attack this season (10.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (15.2%).

Najee Harris has accumulated a lot fewer receiving yards per game (14.0) this season than he did last season (26.0).

More Najee Harris Player Props

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