Najee Harris Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a big 7-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 9th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 64.4 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.
Najee Harris has run a route on 67.6% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 100th percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to earn 4.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 11th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Najee Harris has compiled a measly -2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 5th percentile among RBs.
Najee Harris has been among the least efficient receivers in the league among RBs, averaging a lowly 4.82 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 16th percentile.
Najee Harris has been among the weakest RBs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 5.57 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 19th percentile.
The Cincinnati Bengals safeties rank as the 6th-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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