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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to run on 50.0% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • In this game, Najee Harris is anticipated by our trusted projection set to finish in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs with 18.5 rush attempts.
  • Out of all running backs, Najee Harris grades out in the 80th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 51.9% of the workload in his offense's running game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Indianapolis's DT corps has been very good since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-best in football.

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