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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

In this week's contest, Najee Harris is forecasted by the projections to finish in the 83rd percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.3 rush attempts.

Out of all RBs, Najee Harris ranks in the 80th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 48.1% of the workload in his team's ground game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to see the 5th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Steelers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 56.4 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Los Angeles's group of DTs has been excellent since the start of last season, profiling as the 4th-best in the league.

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