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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Steelers as the most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league (in a neutral context) against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season, averaging 27.54 seconds per snap.

The model projects Najee Harris to earn 14.9 rush attempts in this contest, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among running backs.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Denver's group of DEs has been dreadful since the start of last season, projecting as the worst in the league. in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

While Najee Harris has garnered 54.2% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, our trusted projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Pittsburgh's run game in this week's game at 43.0%.

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