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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-128/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Steelers as the 8th-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 45.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.

In this game, Najee Harris is forecasted by the projections to place in the 81st percentile when it comes to running backs with 14.9 carries.

Among all running backs, Najee Harris ranks in the 85th percentile for carries this year, taking on 53.2% of the workload in his team's ground game.

The Philadelphia Eagles safeties project as the 30th-worst safety corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Steelers, who are -5.5-point underdogs.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

More Najee Harris Player Props

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