Najee Harris Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Carries

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 14, 2024

Updated Dec 8, 2024 8:26 PM EST

Analysis

Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to run on 49.6% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 139.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.
Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being projected in this game) usually cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and increased rush volume.

Favors Under

When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, Cleveland's unit has been great this year, projecting as the best in football.

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