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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-136/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Steelers as the 4th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.6 plays per game.

The predictive model expects Najee Harris to accrue 15.1 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs.

Out of all RBs, Najee Harris ranks in the 85th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 52.7% of the workload in his offense's ground game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Steelers being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Cincinnati's unit has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.

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