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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Steelers to run on 47.2% of their plays: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the projection model to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-most among all teams this week.

In this contest, Najee Harris is projected by the predictive model to place in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs with 12.9 carries.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers have run the 7th-fewest plays in football last year, averaging a mere 55.8 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The model projects Najee Harris to be a less important option in his team's running game this week (41.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been last year (55.8% in games he has played).

When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Atlanta's group of DTs has been outstanding last year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.

More Najee Harris Player Props

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