Najee Harris Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Carries

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to have 133.3 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
The projections expect Najee Harris to earn 15.4 carries in this game, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among running backs.
Out of all RBs, Najee Harris grades out in the 90th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 60.6% of the workload in his offense's run game.
In regards to blocking for rushers (and the importance it has on all run game stats), the O-line of the Steelers profiles as the 10th-best in football last year.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Jacksonville's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 8th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Steelers have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.5 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

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