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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Carries
Player Prop Week 18

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Steelers to run on 52.2% of their downs: the highest frequency among all teams this week.

In this contest, Najee Harris is predicted by the projections to rank in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs with 18.6 carries.

Out of all running backs, Najee Harris grades out in the 88th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 54.7% of the workload in his team's run game.

The Steelers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the league last year in run-blocking.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more rushes) because they be forced to start backup quarterback Mason Rudolph.

The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.31 seconds per snap.

The Baltimore defensive tackles project as the 2nd-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

More Najee Harris Player Props

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