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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Seattle Seahawks vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 10th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 44.7% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Najee Harris to total 15.5 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.

Najee Harris has garnered 54.1% of his offense's run game usage this year, placing him in the 87th percentile among RBs.

The Steelers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the league last year at opening holes for rushers.

The Seahawks safeties project as the 31st-worst unit in the league this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers will be rolling out backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Steelers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Steelers to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (a measly 55.3 per game on average).

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