Najee Harris Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Carries

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-152/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -152.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this game, Najee Harris is projected by the projections to secure a spot in the 79th percentile among RBs with 13.3 carries.
Out of all RBs, Najee Harris grades out in the 84th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 53.1% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in football last year at opening holes for runners.
The Indianapolis Colts safeties rank as the 30th-worst collection of safeties in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

Right now, the 10th-most sluggish paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Steelers.
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

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