Najee Harris Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Carries

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:16 PM EST

Analysis

Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Steelers to run on 46.8% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being projected in this game) usually cause decreased passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.
Our trusted projections expect Najee Harris to accrue 14.0 carries in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Favors Under

The Steelers have called the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 55.6 plays per game.

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