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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to run on 47.4% of their downs: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
  • In this contest, Najee Harris is predicted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs with 13.5 carries.
  • When talking about blocking for ball-carriers (and the influence it has on all ground game statistics), the offensive line of the Steelers ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL last year.
  • The Bengals linebackers rank as the 4th-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects Najee Harris to be much less involved in his team's running game this week (44.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (54.5% in games he has played).

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