Najee Harris Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Carries

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+104/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 66.1 total plays in this game: the 4th-most among all teams this week.
The projections expect Najee Harris to total 12.9 carries in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile among running backs.
When it comes to run-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all ground game stats), the O-line of the Steelers profiles as the 10th-best in football last year.

Favors Under

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
While Najee Harris has received 55.2% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a less important option in Pittsburgh's rushing attack in this contest at 44.9%.
The Browns defensive tackles grade out as the 8th-best collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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