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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-135/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Steelers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 65.9 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • In this week's game, Najee Harris is forecasted by the model to rank in the 77th percentile among RBs with 14.1 carries.
  • Najee Harris has received 57.5% of his team's rushing play calls this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among running backs.
  • When it comes to blocking for ball-carriers (and the effect it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Steelers ranks as the 10th-best in the league last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a measly 54.5 per game on average).
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may decline.

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