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Najee Harris
NFL · Player Props
Najee Harris
RB · Pittsburgh Steelers
Carries
Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets · Week 4, 2022 Updated Oct 2, 2022 5:10 PM UTC
NFL Props Najee Harris Carries

Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -136.

Favors Over
  • The Steelers are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 138.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.5 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to notch 19.2 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking in the 95th percentile among running backs.
  • The New York Jets linebackers rank as the worst collection of LBs in football since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.
Favors Under
  • Najee Harris has been a much smaller piece of his team's run game this year (63.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (78.8%).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in run blocking.
  • The New York Jets have stacked the box against opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have elected to go for it on 4th down a lowly 14.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.
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