My Account Log Out

reorder

Najee Harris

Najee Harris Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-194/+139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -194.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to garner 16.0 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.

The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles grade out as the 7th-worst DT corps in the NFL since the start of last season with their run defense.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 11th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to be much less involved in his team's rushing attack this week (66.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (77.2% in games he has played).

The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have elected to go for it on 4th down just 14.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

More Najee Harris Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™