Najee Harris Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Carries

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 2, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-114/-114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to garner 14.3 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Najee Harris has been a much smaller piece of his offense's run game this season (59.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (78.8%).
The Baltimore Ravens safeties rank as the 8th-best unit in football this year with their run defense.
The Baltimore Ravens have stacked the box against opponents on 18.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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