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Mo Alie-Cox Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-114/-114).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -114.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see 130.2 plays on offense run: the 5th-most among all games this week.This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the best in the NFL since the start of last season.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Colts to pass on 52.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.Opposing teams have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Steelers defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in the NFL.Mo Alie-Cox checks in as one of the bottom pass-game tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a mere 0.8 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 5th percentile among TEs.With a feeble 57.5% Adjusted Catch Rate (15th percentile) since the start of last season, Mo Alie-Cox places as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league when it comes to tight ends.When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Pittsburgh's unit has been outstanding since the start of last season, projecting as the 3rd-best in the NFL.
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