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Mo Alie-Cox

Mo Alie-Cox Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

New York Jets vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Mo Alie-Cox Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Colts are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to call the 8th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year.
  • Mo Alie-Cox's 64.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a material growth in his pass-catching skills over last season's 58.1% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Colts as the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 51.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The 4th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Colts this year (a lowly 53.4 per game on average).
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
  • With a measly 1.1 adjusted receptions per game (14th percentile) this year, Mo Alie-Cox has been as one of the bottom pass-game TEs in the league.
  • The Jets linebackers rank as the 5th-best collection of LBs in football this year in defending receivers.

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