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Mo Alie-Cox

Mo Alie-Cox Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Indianapolis Colts vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Mo Alie-Cox Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-210).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.2 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a monstrous 61.7 per game on average).
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offensive blueprint to tilt 1.6% more towards running than it did last year (in a neutral context) with head coach Shane Steichen now calling the plays.
  • At the present time, the 6th-least pass-focused offense in the NFL (57.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Indianapolis Colts.
  • Mo Alie-Cox has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (17.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (39.6%).
  • Mo Alie-Cox grades out as one of the bottom pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging a measly 0.8 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 13th percentile among TEs.
  • Mo Alie-Cox's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 70.3% to 62.6%.

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