My Account Log Out

reorder

Mo Alie-Cox

Mo Alie-Cox Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Mo Alie-Cox Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+190/-240).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -230 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -240.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Colts as the 6th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Indianapolis offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The Texans pass defense has been gouged for the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (77.2%) vs. tight ends this year (77.2%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Mo Alie-Cox has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (23.1% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (39.6%).

Mo Alie-Cox grades out as one of the weakest pass-game tight ends this year, averaging a lowly 0.9 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 9th percentile among tight ends.

Mo Alie-Cox's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 70.3% to 62.0%.

More Mo Alie-Cox Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™