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Mo Alie-Cox

Mo Alie-Cox Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Mo Alie-Cox Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-154/+112).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties profile as the 9th-worst safety corps in football since the start of last season with their pass rush.

The Indianapolis Colts O-line has given their quarterback 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box against opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Indianapolis Colts have incorporated play action on 33.6% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense performance when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the league.

Mo Alie-Cox has been among the worst possession receivers in football among tight ends, completing just 59.5% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 5th percentile.

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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