Mo Alie-Cox Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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NFL · Player Props

Mo Alie-Cox

TE · Indianapolis Colts

Receptions

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 29, 2022 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Mo Alie-Cox Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Mo Alie-Cox's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% jumping from 57.5% to 78.5%.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line has afforded their quarterback 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Mo Alie-Cox's 9.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 21.0.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has yielded the 8th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (69.1%) to TEs this year (69.1%).