My Account Log Out

reorder

Mo Alie-Cox

Mo Alie-Cox Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

Mo Alie-Cox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -5-point disadvantage, the Colts are underdogs this week, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual game plan.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.1 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

Mo Alie-Cox has totaled substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (19.0) this season than he did last season (12.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Colts to pass on 53.5% of their plays: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Colts this year (a mere 53.7 per game on average).

This year, the fierce Texans defense has yielded a mere 24.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the fewest in football.

The Houston Texans pass defense has displayed strong efficiency versus tight ends this year, allowing 5.17 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in the league.

The Texans linebackers project as the 10th-best LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

More Mo Alie-Cox Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™