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Mo Alie-Cox

Mo Alie-Cox Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins

Mo Alie-Cox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by the projections to run 65.6 offensive plays in this game: the 8th-most on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

After totaling 10.0 air yards per game last year, Mo Alie-Cox has seen marked improvement this year, currently averaging 17.0 per game.

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the best in the NFL this year.

Mo Alie-Cox's 23.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season conveys a substantial improvement in his pass-catching ability over last season's 12.0 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Colts as the 6th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a mere 53.0 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Miami Dolphins, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (just 28.4 per game) this year.

The Dolphins pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (64.5%) to tight ends this year (64.5%).

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