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Mo Alie-Cox

Mo Alie-Cox Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Mo Alie-Cox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Colts to call the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Colts ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

Since the start of last season, the weak Jaguars defense has surrendered the 3rd-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing TEs: a whopping 5.83 YAC.

The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts have been the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 54.2% pass rate.

The fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Colts this year (a measly 48.0 per game on average).

With a lackluster 11.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (20th percentile) since the start of last season, Mo Alie-Cox stands among the weakest TE receiving threats in the league.

Mo Alie-Cox is positioned as one of the most unreliable receivers in football among TEs, catching a mere 57.5% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 15th percentile.

The Jaguars pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (66.3%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (66.3%).

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