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Mo Alie-Cox

Mo Alie-Cox Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Indianapolis Colts vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Mo Alie-Cox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.2 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a monstrous 61.7 per game on average).
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Mo Alie-Cox's 8.6 adjusted yards per target this season signifies a material progression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 6.9 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offensive blueprint to tilt 1.6% more towards running than it did last year (in a neutral context) with head coach Shane Steichen now calling the plays.
  • At the present time, the 6th-least pass-focused offense in the NFL (57.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Indianapolis Colts.
  • Mo Alie-Cox has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (17.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (39.6%).
  • Mo Alie-Cox comes in as one of the weakest pass-catching TEs this year, averaging just 10.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 16th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • Mo Alie-Cox's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 70.3% to 62.6%.

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