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Mo Alie-Cox

Mo Alie-Cox Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders

Mo Alie-Cox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -138.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Indianapolis Colts will be rolling with backup quarterback Sam Ehlinger in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Colts have been the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 64.2% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 129.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 64.7 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 33.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 6th-least in football.

Mo Alie-Cox has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (10.0 per game) than he did last season (27.0 per game).

Mo Alie-Cox's 10.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 21.0.

The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

The Washington Commanders defense has yielded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 32.0) vs. TEs this year.

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