Mo Alie-Cox Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Mo Alie-Cox

NFL · Player Props

Mo Alie-Cox

TE · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 8:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Mo Alie-Cox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts will be rolling with backup quarterback Sam Ehlinger in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Colts have been the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 64.2% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 129.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 64.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 33.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 6th-least in football.
Mo Alie-Cox has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (10.0 per game) than he did last season (27.0 per game).
Mo Alie-Cox's 10.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 21.0.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Washington Commanders defense has yielded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 32.0) vs. TEs this year.

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