Mo Alie-Cox Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Mo Alie-Cox

NFL · Player Props

Mo Alie-Cox

TE · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 7, 2022 12:20 AM UTC

Analysis

Mo Alie-Cox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 64.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Mo Alie-Cox to accrue 3.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among TEs.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
Mo Alie-Cox has put up substantially more receiving yards per game (33.0) this season than he did last season (20.0).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.33 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Mo Alie-Cox has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (17.0 per game) than he did last season (27.0 per game).
The Denver Broncos safeties profile as the 10th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Denver Broncos have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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