Mo Alie-Cox Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Mo Alie-Cox

NFL · Player Props

Mo Alie-Cox

TE · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 29, 2022 1:21 AM EST

Analysis

Mo Alie-Cox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Mo Alie-Cox's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% jumping from 57.5% to 78.5%.
Mo Alie-Cox has been among the most efficient receivers in the league among TEs, averaging a stellar 9.00 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 81st percentile.
Mo Alie-Cox has been among the top TEs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a terrific 6.64 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 77th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Mo Alie-Cox has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (8.0 per game) than he did last year (27.0 per game).
Mo Alie-Cox's 9.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 21.0.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.

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