Mo Alie-Cox Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Mo Alie-Cox

NFL · Player Props

Mo Alie-Cox

TE · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 11, 2022 9:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Mo Alie-Cox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts will be starting backup quarterback Sam Ehlinger in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Colts are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 62.4 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Mo Alie-Cox's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Completion% rising from 57.5% to 77.9%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Mo Alie-Cox has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (10.0 per game) than he did last season (27.0 per game).
Mo Alie-Cox's 11.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 21.0.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the league). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

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