Mitchell Wilcox Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Mitchell Wilcox

NFL · Player Props

Mitchell Wilcox

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving TD

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Mitchell Wilcox Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+436/-996).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -895 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -996.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Mitchell Wilcox to be a more important option in his team's pass game near the end zone this week (6.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
Mitchell Wilcox has been among the best possession receivers in the NFL among TEs, catching a stellar 86.7% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 84th percentile.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has surrendered the 8th-highest Completion% in football (75.8%) to tight ends this year (75.8%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has allowed the 5th-most passing touchdowns in the league to TEs: 0.46 per game this year.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 10th-least in the league.
Mitchell Wilcox has accumulated a measly 3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 18th percentile among TEs.
Mitchell Wilcox's 4.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the worst in football: 22nd percentile for TEs.
Mitchell Wilcox ranks in the 1st percentile among TEs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.

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