Mitchell Trubisky TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Mitchell Trubisky

NFL · Player Props

Mitchell Trubisky

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

TD Passes

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 8, 2023 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Mitchell Trubisky TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-250/+175).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 9th-highest rate in the NFL versus the New England Patriots defense this year (72.3% Adjusted Completion%).
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, New England's CB corps has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 7th-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
Our trusted projections expect the Steelers as the 5th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are forecasted by the projections to call only 63.6 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a measly 55.5 per game on average).
The model projects Mitchell Trubisky to throw 31.4 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 7th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

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