Mitchell Trubisky TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Mitchell Trubisky

NFL · Player Props

Mitchell Trubisky

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

TD Passes

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 4:55 PM UTC

Analysis

Mitchell Trubisky TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-200).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 60.0% red zone pass rate.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 64.1 plays per game.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.
The New England Patriots defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-slowest in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Mitchell Trubisky has attempted just 6.7 throws per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 20th percentile among QBs.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 10th-least in the NFL.
Mitchell Trubisky has been among the least on-target QBs in football this year with a 56.2% Completion%, grading out in the 25th percentile.
Mitchell Trubisky has been among the worst TD passers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a miserable 0.14 per game while checking in at the 20th percentile.

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