Mitchell Trubisky Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Mitchell Trubisky

NFL · Player Props

Mitchell Trubisky

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Mitchell Trubisky Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+104/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 64.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Mitchell Trubisky to be a more integral piece of his team's run game this week (14.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (1.4% in games he has played).
The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the league). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Mitchell Trubisky has averaged a measly 0.7 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, one of the lowest rates in the league among QBs (12th percentile).
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
Mitchell Trubisky has been among the bottom quarterbacks in the league at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a mere 0.19 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 23rd percentile.

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