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Mitchell Trubisky

Mitchell Trubisky Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Mitchell Trubisky Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+104/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -142.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 64.1 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Mitchell Trubisky to be a more integral piece of his team's run game this week (14.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (1.4% in games he has played).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the league). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Mitchell Trubisky has averaged a measly 0.7 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, one of the lowest rates in the league among QBs (12th percentile).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
  • Mitchell Trubisky has been among the bottom quarterbacks in the league at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a mere 0.19 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 23rd percentile.

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